Average deaths stand at 84 and the lowest in more than 2 years

The moving average of deaths from covid-19 has reached the lowest level in more than two years. Today, the index stood at 84. Before that, the lowest number was on April 8, 2020, when it stood at 83. The data are from the consortium of press vehicles, of which the UOL is part.

The moving average is calculated from the average of deaths – or cases -, of the last seven days. The index is considered by experts as the most reliable way to follow the advance or retreat of the pandemic.

In the last 24 hours, 59 deaths from the disease were recorded in the country. In all, 13 states had no deaths today: Acre, Alagoas, Amapá, Amazonas, Espírito Santo, Goiás, Maranhão, Mato Grosso do Sul, Paraíba, Paraná, Rio Grande do Norte, Roraima and São Paulo. Since the beginning of the pandemic, 664,248 people have died of covid-19 in Brazil.

The moving average of deaths completed a week of stability today, with a variation of -12%. If the value is above 15%, the trend is up; below -15%, drop; between 15% and -15%, as today, stability.

Two regions of the country follow this trend of stability in deaths: Central-West (-9%) and Southeast (0%). Another three have a downward trend: Northeast (-35%), North (-28%) and South (-26%).

In the analysis by federative unit, nine states show stability in the average of deaths; six, up and 11 other states and the Federal District, down.

In addition, today the country had 10,606 new known cases of the disease, reaching 30,570,405 accumulated positive tests. The moving average of registered cases stood at 16,219. For the 2nd day in a row, the indicator shows an uptrend – today it changed 19% compared to 14 days ago.

Two of the five regions of the country follow this scenario: Midwest (35%) and North (39%). Another three show a trend of stability: Northeast (8%), Southeast (-15%) and South (7%).

Among the federation units, nine registered a downward trend, six of stability and 12, of an increase.

See the situation of the moving average of deaths by state and in the DF:

Southeast region

  • Espírito Santo: stability (0%)
  • Minas Gerais: fall (-38%)
  • Rio de Janeiro: high (23%)

North region

  • Roraima: stability (0%)
  • Tocantins: stability (0%)

Northeast Region

  • Maranhão: stability (0%)
  • Piauí: stability (0%)
  • Rio Grande do Norte: high (600%)
  • Sergipe: stability (0%)

Midwest region

  • Federal District: drop (-23%)
  • Goiás: stability (5%)
  • Mato Grosso: drop (-60%)
  • Mato Grosso do Sul: fall (-29%)

South region

  • Paraná: stability (3%)
  • Rio Grande do Sul: drop (-10%)
  • Santa Catarina: stability (-76%)

government data

The Ministry of Health reported today (9) that Brazil reported 53 new deaths caused by covid-19 in the last 24 hours. The total number of deaths caused by the disease reached 664,192 across the country.

According to data released by the ministry, there were 9,709 positive diagnoses for covid-19 in Brazil between yesterday and today, bringing the total number of infected to 30,574,245 since the beginning of the pandemic,

According to the federal government, there have been 29,652,018 recovered cases of the disease so far, with another 258,035 in follow-up.

Vehicles unite for information

In response to the decision of the Jair Bolsonaro government to restrict access to data on the covid-19 pandemic, media outlets UOLO Estado de S. Paulo, Folha de S.Paulo, O Globo, g1 and Extra formed a consortium to work collaboratively to seek the necessary information directly from the state health departments of the 27 units of the Federation.

The federal government, through the Ministry of Health, should be the natural source of these numbers, but attitudes of authorities and the president himself during the pandemic cast doubt on the availability of data and its accuracy.

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