Real Time Big Data poll released this Wednesday (12) shows Rogério Carvalho (PT) leading the race for the government of Sergipe in the second round of elections with 55% of valid votes (which exclude whites and nulls), against 45% of Fábio (PSD). The margin of error of 3 percentage points, plus or minus.
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The survey was carried out between the 10th and 11th of October and heard 1,000 voters. The confidence level of the data is 95%. The survey was commissioned by Record TV and registered with the Superior Electoral Court under number SE-07813/2022.
In the stimulated survey, in which the name of the candidates is presented to the interviewee, Rogério Carvalho appears with 42% of the voting intentions, and Fábio, with 34%. Blanks and nulls added up to 16%, and don’t know/didn’t answer, 8%.
When considering voter income, Rogério Carvalho performs better among those earning up to two minimum wages (45% of voting intentions), while Fábio does better among those earning more than five minimum wages (46%).
The PT candidate has the majority of his electorate in women (43%, against 41% of men). Most of Fábio’s voters, in turn, are male (37%, against 31% of women).
Of the voters who voted for Rogério Carvalho, 44% said they were evangelicals and 29% Catholics. The PSD candidate has more Catholic voters (38%) than evangelicals (33%).