‘Everything at once everywhere’ will triumph at the Oscars, according to betting houses and expert pools

In the race to the Oscars, every step counts. The January and February awards calendar works as a thermometer when it comes to knowing which candidates are the favorites to win the golden statuette. The last event of the season was the SAG Awards ceremony, from the American Screen Actors Guild, where Everything at once everywherewas established as the favorite bet by getting four of the five prizes for which she was nominated: best film cast, best leading actress, best supporting actress and best supporting actor.

After knowing the successive results, magazines such as Variety and Entertainment Weekly coincide in their pool with the ranking of the betting houses. Both lists are headed by the plot madness of Everything at once everywherein which a Chinese immigrant in the United States is forced to save the world after an interdimensional rupture that takes her to different corners of the multiverse.

Best film

There is little doubt about the category of best film despite the fact that, as indicated by Entertainment Weekly, It is one of the most unpredictable Oscars. The trend of the international awards season suffers circumstantial deviations, such as the Bafta (equivalent to the Goya in the United Kingdom) to No news at the front –the last trick of Netflix to take the statuette- or the Golden Globe to Banshees by Inisherin. However, the tape Everything at once everywherehas been valued inside and outside the industry for its bold mix of genres and the quality of the proposal beyond its box office success (its collection is around 95 million euros), something that filmmakers of any generation would have to recognize at the Oscars. For months now, the Daniels project has been a clear favorite in bookmakers according to data from the Legalbet comparator, while the share of No news at the front It has dropped significantly, placing itself in second place as one of the possible surprises.

best direction

Faced with the return of James Cameron with the sequel to Avatar and Steven Spielberg’s sentimental autobiographical proposal with The Fabelmans, the duo consisting of Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert is a resounding favorite to win the award for best director for Everything at once everywhere. As of February 28, gambling house forecasts confirm that both directors would win the Oscar. In the case of Spielberg’s being a failed nomination, it would be the second in a row; he also did not get the statuette in 2022 with his adaptation of the musical West Side Story. Of the eight previous nominations for the best director category, Spielberg has only been awarded twiceby schindler’s list and Saving Private Ryan.

points Variety that, in its 75-year history, only eight winners of the Directors Guild Awards (DGA) they failed to take the Academy Award in the same season. The most recent example is that of Sam Mendes with 1917who won at the DGAs but lost to Bong Joon Ho by parasites at the 2020 Oscars.

While there’s always some room for surprises, the SAG Awards tend to be the strongest predictors for the Oscars, especially in the acting categories. This is mainly because members of the acting branch of the American Film Academy also belong to the Screen Actors Guild, and the actors in turn constitute the largest percentage of the Academy, so your choices have the most influence. The statistics prove it: in the last decade, eight SAG winners for best actor also won Oscars, a trend that was repeated in the categories of best actress and best supporting actor. In the case of best supporting actress, nine of the last ten SAG winners have also won the gold statuette: the only anomaly was Emily Blunt, who was not nominated for an Oscar that year for A peaceful place.

Best Leading Actress

Although the award for best female performance at the SAGs went to Michelle Yeoh, star of Everything at once everywherethe forecasts point to another direction for the Oscars gala. Cate Blanchett would be awarded for carrying on her shoulders the argumentative weight of TÁRcompared to other competitors such as Ana de Armas (Blonde) and Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans). Blanchett has already achieved, thanks to her performance as a conductor, the Bafta and the Volpi Cup for best actress at the 2022 Venice Festival.

Best Leading Actor

The only award that escaped the feature film about the multiverse at the SAG Awards was the one for best male performer -perhaps due to his anecdotal presence-, which went to Brendan Fraser by The whalewhere he plays an obese teacher who suffers bullying. After winning recognition at the Film Critics Awards, Fraser is also the favorite to collect the golden statuette on March 12, after a series of ups and downs in his career that have made him a sort of acting Phoenix bird. The bookmakers confirm a leadership already outlined by critics. However, the protagonist of The whale He will have to fight in a tight duel with Austin Butler (Elvis), who won the Golden Globe and the Bafta for best actor this year.

Best Supporting Actress

Jamie Lee Curtis’ victory (Everything at once everywhere) at the SAGs makes her a more than worthy contender for Best Supporting Actress Against All Odds, as she’s up against co-star Stephanie Hsu in the same category. However, the bets of the experts and the general public agree that the Oscar would go to Angela Bassett (Black Panther:Wakanda Forever)nominated exactly 30 years ago for playing Tina Turner in What does love have to do with it? Bassett returns to the Oscars as the first Academy Award-nominated actress from the Marvel Universe and, following her successful run at the Golden Globes and Film Critics Awards, she is on track to become the first woman to win for her performance in a superhero movie.

Best Supporting Actor

Ke Huy Quan’s journey through the film season has been largely uneventful, except for the stumble at the Baftas, where Barry Kheogan won over the jury with his supporting role in Banshees of Inisherin. After being part of the franchise of Indiana Jones and of the goonies, Quan disappeared from Hollywood cinema for almost four decades. His inspiring return with the Daniels, which has garnered him SAG, Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice Awards, rivals Fraser for being one of the most memorable revivals in recent movie history. The predictions point to Huy Quan will win the Oscar for best supporting actoradding one more award to the extensive list of winners of Everything at once everywhere.

Best Adapted Screenplay

No news at the front is running as one of the main candidates to win the Oscar for best adapted screenplay. The Netflix production, which competes with another great success of the platform (Daggers in the Back: The Glass Onion Mystery), He already got the Bafta, which has strengthened his position within the pools. His biggest rival is They speakwith a script by Sarah Polley, also nominated for best direction and best picture. In fact, the bookmakers predict the victory of They speak about No news at the frontwith very remote possibilities for the rest of the nominated films.

Best Original Screenplay

One of the eleven statuettes that can escape Everything at once everywhere is the best original script, well Banshees by Inisherin party with some advantage in betting. It will be a one-on-one between the two, with other great nominees such as The Fabelmans and TÁR with hardly any chance of winning. The most skeptical filmmakers do not believe that the Academy will pass up the opportunity to reward the original script of the Daniels’ multiverse comedy, but McDonagh arrives with the Golden Globe for best screenplay, a relevant milestone for the Oscars ceremony .